Honestly wtf! is anvil bugged?!

[casual]

so i boomed 6 pieces of krowaz+6 wiht trina in a row, and not a single fucking one went +7? wtf is up with that? anvil must be bugged lol

[NatGeo]

Its just bad luck. 6 aint that much^^

[parazit1]

Its just bad luck. 6 aint that much^^

if it is u can give me some for free

[Silver1]

You are just unlucky, many people have succesed without trinas lol

[Darken]

I once bummed 14 to +7 in row without trina. When bad row is going on, its better to give uop and try later..

[NatGeo]

if it is u can give me some for free

common sense plz

[Tidoggg]

anvil is like slot machine in casino you can win big or lost big depend of your luck

[Many]

Yesterday I burned 12x +6 > +7 paper armors lol, just bad luck ;o annoying when it happens with expensive stuff though... been there :/

[Draven]

6 isnt nothing, Bknight.aka Nirvana. He made his retirement video a couple years ago on Cwest.... at end he showed himself trying to make shard8s or cleaver 9s cant quite remember.... but he had like 9-12trinas.... all burned.


shitty luck brops..... sorry to hear it.

[E Mon]

lol 6 arent that much...if u wanna real profit then go make krowaz armour parts with around 10gb of items then upgrade all the products in a row to +6 and if you had good luck then go for +7s if you are having more than 2 pieces +6 so you will recover the spent 10gb and get more profit depending on how many parts you got +7

[casual]

boomed 1 more after i wrote that lol, now im done with the uppgrading for a while lol, gotta start saving up cash lol

[Kenner]

so i boomed 6 pieces of krowaz+6 wiht trina in a row, and not a single fucking one went +7? wtf is up with that? anvil must be bugged lol

I'm pretty sure trina is just a false advertisement.

K2 advertises that trina adds 30% to upgrade rate, so going 7>8 should be 35%.

Here are the probabilities for consecutive burns, given +8 is 5% + the 30% from trina:

65.00% (1 burn)
42.25% (2 burns in a row)
27.46% (3 burns in a row, etc)
17.85%
11.60%
7.54%
4.90% (7 burns in a row, at this point considered statistically "unusual")
3.19%
2.07%
1.35%
0.88%
0.57%
0.37%
0.24% (14 burns in a row)
0.16%
0.10%
0.07%

If you want to know how the math is done, it's basically percent of upgrade to the power of how many consecutive attempts. Since chance of failure is .65 (65%), .65^x.

Darken isn't the only account, Daddiss also had this (14 in a row) happen with witnesses in a cafe.

Anyway, that is from a mathematical point of view. I just think K2 is full of shit (big surprise, right?).

[wuming1234]

I'm pretty sure trina is just a false advertisement.

K2 advertises that trina adds 30% to upgrade rate, so going 7>8 should be 35%.

Here are the probabilities for consecutive burns, given +8 is 5% + the 30% from trina:

65.00% (1 burn)
42.25% (2 burns in a row)
27.46% (3 burns in a row, etc)
17.85%
11.60%
7.54%
4.90% (7 burns in a row, at this point considered statistically "unusual")
3.19%
2.07%
1.35%
0.88%
0.57%
0.37%
0.24% (14 burns in a row)
0.16%
0.10%
0.07%

If you want to know how the math is done, it's basically percent of upgrade to the power of how many consecutive attempts. Since chance of failure is .65 (65%), .65^x.

Darken isn't the only account, Daddiss also had this (14 in a row) happen with witnesses in a cafe.

Anyway, that is from a mathematical point of view. I just think K2 is full of shit (big surprise, right?).

the probablities are not counted in this way. Random walk theory. If you toss a coin and u get 27 consecutive heads, what is the probability of getting tail for the next toss? Its still 50 50.

[fugar]

damn this math is really bugging my head....brings me back to high school math class lol ;(

anyways sorry about your upgrade fails buuuuuut ED is back sooooo you can get your cash back easier now

[ilovemyko1]

the probablities are not counted in this way. Random walk theory. If you toss a coin and u get 27 consecutive heads, what is the probability of getting tail for the next toss? Its still 50 50.

that's right

I once bummed 14 to +7 in row without trina. When bad row is going on, its better to give uop and try later..

yeah the anvil has its "mean streaks" ha if u burn alot in a row just stop and try later