Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast
Results 1 to 15 of 16

what r the odds ?

This is a discussion on what r the odds ? within the General Chat forums, part of the Knight Online (ko4life.com) category; if a boss spawns every 2-4 hours and there r 5 spots it can spawn and a person is playing ...
Page: 1


  1. #1
    1bayarea1
    Guest

    Default

    if a boss spawns every 2-4 hours and there r 5 spots it can spawn and a person is playing lets say 10 hours a day..
    what r the odds that person loggs in at exactly the spot and time the boss spawns ?

    if any mathematicians can figure this out for me.. i bet its a million to 1 or some shit and either these fags r the luckiest motherfuckers i ever seen or..

  2. #2
    kpuano
    Guest

    Default

    Afaik the boss spawns exactly 6 or 8 hours after it died.
    My friend used to kill a boss, and 6-8 hours later (idk the exact time) he goes to the spawns and kill it again.

    So lets say the boss can spawn in 5 different places, its 20% chance if he counted the time he killed it before xD
    i hope u understood what i meant.. bad english =S

  3. #3
    1bayarea1
    Guest

    Default

    Afaik the boss spawns exactly 6 or 8 hours after it died.
    My friend used to kill a boss, and 6-8 hours later (idk the exact time) he goes to the spawns and kill it again.

    So lets say the boss can spawn in 5 different places, its 20% chance if he counted the time he killed it before xD
    i hope u understood what i meant.. bad english =S[/b]
    its not 1 time or the other.. its randomly anytime within the respawn time.. so he has 1in 5 odds picking spot to relog but that doesnt explain why at exact time even if he killed last 1

    im just saying.. if i was some random turk with that good of luck to consistantly relog exactly time and place boss spawns i would move to Las Vegas <_<

  4. #4
    Senior Member Majix's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    whereva the paper drops
    Posts
    2,545

    Default

    There are 86,400 seconds in a day. If the boss spawns every 2 hours, then that makes 12 spawns a day.. thus 12 different seconds that it can spawn. The odds, therefore, would be 1/7200.. but seeing as how there are 5 diff spawns, it should be 5x less likely.. thus making it 1/36,000. If it&#39;s 4 hrs each spawn, then it&#39;d be 1/72,000. So, it&#39;s 1/36,000 - 1/72,000 odds of getting it right as you log in. GL Logging in at that time =o


    p.s. my math could be completely wrong, but i think that&#39;s about right. I don&#39;t have time to average the spawn times, but that&#39;ll give u your range.

  5. #5
    The king. Senior Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Location
    sweden
    Posts
    2,212

    Default

    There are 86,400 seconds in a day. If the boss spawns every 2 hours, then that makes 12 spawns a day.. thus 12 different seconds that it can spawn. The odds, therefore, would be 1/7200.. but seeing as how there are 5 diff spawns, it should be 5x less likely.. thus making it 1/36,000. If it&#39;s 4 hrs each spawn, then it&#39;d be 1/72,000. So, it&#39;s 1/36,000 - 1/72,000 odds of getting it right as you log in. GL Logging in at that time =o
    p.s. my math could be completely wrong, but i think that&#39;s about right. I don&#39;t have time to average the spawn times, but that&#39;ll give u your range.[/b]
    omg xD hahaha nice job

  6. #6
    ph3var2
    Guest

    Default

    but there are X number of co-ordinates in say eslant and logging in at that exact co-ord would be X x 72000

  7. #7
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Location
    SoCal
    Posts
    252

    Default

    Let&#39;s say that one second corresponds to an odd. If you played for 10 hours a day and the boss spawned every 2 hours then the chances of logging in to a boss spawn is 1/7200. This is if you know where it&#39;s going to spawn. If you were just guessing where it would spawn then multiply it by five, 1/36000.

    The way to find this is 60 x 60 x 10 which represents the seconds in ten hours, 36000, x .20 which represents the 5 boss spawns. Edit the .20 to however many times it would spawn in ten hours if you choose to change the spawn time.

    So Majix&#39;s math is perfect :P

  8. #8
    deller8
    Guest

    Default

    if you log in right where the boss is and right when it spawns, after you are done killing it, go and play the lottery.

  9. #9
    To punish and enslave Senior Member Magyk's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Chapterhouse
    Posts
    1,692

    Default

    There are 86,400 seconds in a day. If the boss spawns every 2 hours, then that makes 12 spawns a day.. thus 12 different seconds that it can spawn. The odds, therefore, would be 1/7200.. but seeing as how there are 5 diff spawns, it should be 5x less likely.. thus making it 1/36,000. If it&#39;s 4 hrs each spawn, then it&#39;d be 1/72,000. So, it&#39;s 1/36,000 - 1/72,000 odds of getting it right as you log in. GL Logging in at that time =o[/b]
    I dont see a K2 or babashopGMsuckysucky modifier

  10. #10
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Location
    SoCal
    Posts
    252

    Default

    I dont see a K2 or babashopGMsuckysucky modifier [/b]
    That only works if the guy is actually logged in :P

  11. #11
    puplesk8er
    Guest

    Default

    to low chances

  12. #12
    Kreeden
    Guest

    Default

    fukk math, the odds suck. Can you handle that?

    Man, my head hurts..

  13. #13
    Senior Member assas62's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2006
    Location
    MN
    Posts
    703

    Default

    i think there some missing variables in your question...as in only a 1 particular boss or any boss at the spot ? then you would need to figure how many bosses is possible to spawn in this spot, and also the person could asssume(eslant) the boss will be 6-8 hours so in that case theres a 2 hour window frame to login..but yea need more answers

  14. #14
    infinityg35
    Guest

    Default

    i just gave up on looking

  15. #15
    deller8
    Guest

    Default

    why are you wondering this?

Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •